Drivers shopping for premium electric vehicles over the next twenty-four months are highly likely to see a new class of long-range models entering the market, but they won't be powered by the dry solid-state cells that startups have spent billions trying to build. Instead, these vehicles will rely on semi-solid gel packs.
This technology is expected to push vehicle ranges beyond 500 miles on a single charge while significantly reducing the risk of thermal runaway. However, consumers should expect to pay a premium for these early gel-equipped models. Because gel-polymer electrolytes can be processed using roughly 80% of existing lithium-ion manufacturing equipment, battery makers can avoid the trillions of dollars in retooling costs that pure solid-state would require. This suggests that while these vehicles will initially target the high-end luxury segment, the technology could trickle down to mainstream models much faster than pure solid-state ever could.
For the average consumer, this means the dream of a 10-minute charge is still several years away. Gel batteries improve charging speeds, but they do not match the near-instantaneous charging promised by dry ceramic systems. The immediate future of driving is semi-solid, not solid.
